Final Oscar Nomination Predictions

With the Oscar nominations officially announced tomorrow, these are my final nomination predictions, before attention turns to what will win. Here I predict what I think the nominations will be (these are not my personal picks for what should be nominated) and I will confuse to evolve this as the season develops. So many categories are tough to call, with best actress in particular being an absolute minefield. Lets see how close I get…

Picture

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Belfast
3. West Side Story
4. Dune
5. Licorice Pizza
6. Don’t Look Up
7. King Richard
8. Coda
9. Being the Ricardos
10. Drive My Car

Alternate – Tick, Tick… Boom

Director

1. Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog
2. Denis Villeneuve – Dune
3. Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza
4. Steven Spielberg – West Side Story
5. Kenneth Branagh – Belfast

Alternate – Ryusuke Hamaguchi – Drive My Car

Actor

1. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog
2. Will Smith – King Richard
3. Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick… Boom
4. Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth
5. Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up

Alternate – Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos

Actress

1. Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos
2. Lady Gaga – House of Gucci
3. Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter
4. Alana Haim – Licorice Pizza
5. Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Alternate – Renate Reinsve – The Worst Person in the World

Supporting Actor

1. Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog
2. Troy Kotsur – CODA
3. Ciaran Hinds – Belfast
4. Bradley Cooper – Licorice Pizza
5. Jared Leto – House of Gucci

Alternate – Mike Faist – West Side Story

Supporting Actress

1. Ariana DeBose – West Side Story
2. Caitriona Balfe – Belfast
3. Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog
4. Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard
5. Ruth Negga – Passing

Alternate – Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley

Original Screenplay

1. Belfast
2. Licorice Pizza
3. Don’t Look Up
4. King Richard
5. Being the Ricardos

Alternate – Parallel Mothers

Adapted Screenplay

1. The Power of the Dog
2. CODA
3. The Lost Daughter
4. West Side Story
5. Drive My Car

Alternate – Dune

Animated Feature

1. Encanto
2. Flee
3. Luca
4. The Mitchell’s vs. the Machines
5. Raya and the Last Dragon

Alternate – Belle

Documentary Feature

1. Flee
2. The Rescue
3. Summer of Soul
4. Procession
5. The First Wave

Alternate – Ascension

International Feature

1. Drive My Car
2. The Worst Person in the World
3. Flee
4. A Hero
5. The Hand of God

Alternate – I’m Your Man

Cinematography

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. The Tragedy of Macbeth
4. Belfast
5. West Side Story

Alternate – Nightmare Alley

Costume Design

1. Dune
2. Cruella
3. West Side Story
4. House of Gucci
5. Nightmare Alley

Alternate – Cyrano

Film Editing

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Belfast
4. Don’t Look Up
5. Licorice Pizza

Alternate – West Side Story

Make-Up & Hairstyling

1. Dune
2. House of Gucci
3. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
4. Cruella
5. Cyrano

Alternate – Coming 2 America

Original Score

1. The Power of the Dog
2. Dune
3. The French Dispatch
4. Don’t Look Up
5. Encanto

Alternate – Parallel Mothers

Original Song

1. “No Time to Die” – No Time to Die
2. “Dos Oruguitas” – Encanto
3. “Be Alive” – King Richard
4. “Just Look Up” – Don’t Look Up
5. “Down to Joy” – Belfast

Alternate – “Beyond the Shore” – CODA

Production Design

1. Dune
2. Nightmare Alley
3. West Side Story
4. The French Dispatch
5. The Tragedy of Macbeth

Alternate – Belfast

Sound

1. Dune
2. West Side Story
3. Belfast
4. No Time to Die
5. A Quiet Place Part II

Alternate – The Power of the Dog

Visual Effects

1. Dune
2. No Time to Die
3. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
4. The Matrix Resurrections
5. Spider-Man: No Way Home

Alternate – Godzilla vs. Kong