Updated Oscar Nomination Predictions

This is my updated predictions for this year’s Oscars, over a month on from my last predictions. We have around a week until the nominations will be announced and this is on the back of the Golden Globe awards and today’s BAFTA nominations so I believe we are starting to get a good idea of how the Oscar nomination will look, but as always, the Academy is a different voting block and is likely to have some differences. I will order my predictions by what I believe to be the current favourites. These are likely to continue to change over the coming month, but this where I believe things may currently play out.

Top Predicted Nominations

Joker = 10

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood = 10

The Irishman = 10

Little Women = 8

1917 = 8

Best Picture

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Sony)

1917 (Universal)

Parasite (Neon)

The Irishman (Netflix)

Joker (Warner Bros)

Jojo Rabbit (Fox)

Marriage Story (Netflix)

The Two Popes (Netflix)

Little Women (Sony)

The Farewell (A24)

Wildcard = Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)

Best Director

Bong Joon Ho – Parasite

Sam Mendes – 1917

Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Martin Scorsese – The Irishman

Greta Gerwig – Little Women

Wildcard = Todd Phillips – Joker

Best Actor

Joaquin Phoenix – Joker

Adam Driver – Marriage Story

Taron Egerton – Rocketman

Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Robert De Niro – The Irishman

Wildcard = Jonathan Pryce – The Two Popes

Best Actress

Renee Zellwegger – Judy

Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story

Charlize Theron – Bombshell

Saoirse Ronan – Little Women

Awkwafina – The Farewell

Wildcard = Lupita Nyong’o – Us

Best Supporting Actor

Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Joe Pesci – The Irishman

Al Pacino – The Irishman

Anthony Hopkins – The Two Popes

Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood

Wildcard = Song Kang-ho – Parasite

Best Supporting Actress

Laura Dern – Marriage Story

Jennifer Lopez – Hustlers

Margot Robbie – Bombshell

Scarlett Johansson – Jojo Rabbit

Florence Pugh – Little Women

Wildcard = Zhao Shuzhen – The Farewell

Best Original Screenplay

Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Bong Joon-Ho – Parasite

Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story

Rian Johnson – Knives Out

Lulu Wang – The Farewell

Wildcard = Susanna Fogel, Emily Halpern, Sarah Haskins, and Katie Silberman – Booksmart

Best Adapted Screenplay

Steven Zailian – The Irishman 

Todd Phillips and Scott Silver – Joker

Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit

Greta Gerwig – Little Women

Anthony McCarten – The Two Popes

Wildcard = Micah Fitzerman-Blue and Noah Harpster – A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood  

Best Animated Feature

Toy Story 4 (Pixar)

Frozen II (Disney)

Missing Link (United Artists)

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Dreamworks)

Klaus (Netflix)

Wildcard = I Lost My Body (Netflix)

Best Documentary Feature

For Sama (PBS)

Apollo 11 (Neon)

American Factory (Netflix)

One Child Nation (Amazon)

The Biggest Little Farm (Netflix)

Wildcard = Knock Down the House (Netflix

Best International Feature

Parasite (South Korea)

Pain and Glory (Spain)

Les Miserables (France)

Atlantics (Senegal)

Corpus Christi (Poland)

Wildcard = Honeyland (North Macedonia)

Best Cinematography

Roger Deakins – 1917

Robert Richardson – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Lawrence Sher – Joker

Rodrigo Prieto – The Irishman

Yorick Le Saux – Little Women

Wildcard = Jarin Blaschke – The Lighthouse

Best Film Editing

Thelma Schoonmaker – The Irishman

Andrew Buckland and Michael McCusker – Ford v Ferrari

Jeff Groth – Joker

Fred Raskin – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Jimmo Yang – Parasite

Wildcard = Lee Smith – 1917

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Joker

Bombshell

Judy

Rocketman

Once Upon a Rime in Hollywood

Best Original Score

Hildur Guonadottir – Joker

Thomas Newman – 1917

Randy Newman – Marriage Story

Alexandre Desplat – Little Women

Michael Giacchino – Jojo Rabbit

Wildcard = John Williams – Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Best Original Song

Elton John and Bernie Taupin – “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” (Rocketman)

Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez – “Into the Unknown” (Frozen II)

Beyoncé Knowles-Carter, Timothy McKenzie and Ilya Salmanzadeh – “Spirit” (The Lion King)

Caitlyn Smith, Mary Steenburgen and Kate York – “Glasgow (No Place Like Home)” (Wild Rose)

Joshuah Brian Campbell and Cynthia Erivo – “Stand Up” (Harriet)

Wildcard = Randy Newman – “I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away” (Toy Story 4)

Best Visual Effects

The Lion King

The Irishman

1917

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Avengers: Endgame

Wildcard = Gemini Man

Best Production Design

1917

Joker

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Jojo Rabbit

Parasite

Wildcard = Little Women

Best Costume Design

Little Women

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Jojo Rabbit

Judy

The Irishman

Wildcard = Joker

Best Sound Editing

Joker

1917

Rocketman

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Ford v Ferrari

Best Sound Mixing

1917

Joker

Rocketman

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Ford v Ferrari