Final Oscar Nomination Predictions

Best Picture

  • Conclave
  • Emilia Perez
  • Anora
  • A Complete Unknown
  • The Brutalist
  • Wicked
  • The Substance
  • Dune 2
  • Sing Sing
  • A Real Pain

Alt – September 5

Best Director

  • Brady Corbet – The Brutalist
  • Jaques Audiard – Emilia Perez
  • Edward Berger – Conclave
  • Coralie Fargeat – The Substance
  • Sean Baker – Anora

Alt – James Mangold – A Complete Unknown

Best Actor

  • Timothee Chalamet – A Complete Unknown]
  • Adrien Brody – The Brutalist
  • Ralph Fiennes – Conclave
  • Colman Domingo – Sing Sing
  • Sebastian Stan – The Apprentice

Alt – Daniel Craig – Queer

Best Actress

  • Demi Moore – The Substance
  • Mikey Madison – Anora
  • Karla Sofia Gascon – Emilia Perez
  • Fernanda Torres – I’m Still Here
  • Cynthia Erivo – Wicked

Alt – Marianne Jean-Baptiste – Hard Truths

Best Supporting Actor

  • Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain
  • Edward Norton – A Complete Unknown
  • Guy Pearce – The Brutalist
  • Yura Burisov – Anora
  • Jeremy Strong – The Apprentice

Alt – Clarence Maclin – Sing Sing

Best Supporting Actress

  • Zoe Saldana – Emilia Perez
  • Ariana Grande – Wicked
  • Isabella Rossellini – Conclave
  • Selena Gomez – Emilia Perez
  • Margaret Qualley – The Substance

Alt – Felicity Jones – The Brutalist

Best Original Screenplay

  • Anora
  • The Substance
  • The Brutalist
  • A Real Pain
  • September 5

Alt – All We Imagine As Light

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Conclave
  • Emilia Perez
  • A Complete Unknown
  • Sing Sing
  • Nickel Boys

Alt – Wicked

Best Animated Feature

  • The Wild Robot
  • Flow
  • Inside Out 2
  • Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
  • Memoir of a Snail

Alt – Moana 2

Best Documentary Feature

  • No Other Land
  • Black Box Diaries
  • Sugarcane
  • Daughters
  • Will & Harper

Alt – Soundtrack to a Coup D’Etat

Best International Feature

  • Emilia Perez
  • I’m Still Here
  • The Seed of the Sacred Fig
  • Vermiglio
  • Kneecap

Alt – The Girl with the Needle

Best Cinematography

  • The Brutalist
  • Conclave
  • Nosferatu
  • Maria
  • Dune 2

Alt – Nickel Boys

Best Costume Design

  • Wicked
  • Dune 2
  • Nosferatu
  • Conclave
  • Gladiator 2

Alt – A Complete Unknown

Best Film Editing

  • Conclave
  • Emilia Perez
  • Anora
  • Dune 2
  • The Substance

Alt – September 5

Best Production Design

  • Wicked
  • The Brutalist
  • Dune 2
  • Conclave
  • Nosferatu

Alt – A Complete Unknown

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling

  • The Substance
  • Emilia Perez
  • Wicked
  • A Different Man
  • Nosferatu

Alt – Waltzing With Brando

Best Original Song

  • El Mal – Emilia Perez
  • Mi Camino – Emilia Perez
  • Kiss the Sky – The Wild Robot
  • The Six Triple Eight – The Journey
  • Harper and Will Go West – Will & Harper

Alt – Never Too Late – Elton John: Never Too Late

Best Original Score

  • The Brutalist
  • Conclave
  • Emilia Perez
  • Nosferatu
  • Challengers

Alt – Wicked

Best Sound

  • Dune 2
  • Wicked
  • Emilia Perez
  • A Complete Unknown
  • Gladiator 2

Alt – Alien: Romulus

Best Visual Effects

  • Dune 2
  • Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
  • Better Man
  • Alien: Romulus
  • Wicked

Alt – Twisters

Most Nominations – Emilia Perez – 13

First Oscar Winner Predictions

Most Wins – Oppenheimer – 8

Best Picture 

Winner – Oppenheimer

Alternate – The Holdovers

Best Director  

Winner – Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer

Alternate – Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Actor  

Winner – Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers

Alternate – Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

Best Actress 

Winner – Emma Stone – Poor Things

Alternate – Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Supporting Actor 

Winner – Robert Downey Jr – Oppenheimer

Alternate – Ryan Gosling – Barbie

Best Supporting Actress 

Winner – Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Alternate – Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer

Best Original Screenplay 

Winner – The Holdovers

Alternate – Anatomy of a Fall

Best Adapted Screenplay 

Winner – Oppenheimer

Alternate – Barbie

Best Animated  

Winner – Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternate – The Boy and the Heron

Best Documentary 

Winner – 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternate – Bibi Wine: The People’s President

Best International  

Winner – The Zone of Interest

Alternate – Society of the Snow

Best Cinematography  

Winner – Oppenheimer

Alternate – Poor Things

Best Costume Design  

Winner – Barbie

Alternate – Poor Things

Best Production Design  

Winner – Barbie

Alternate – Poor Things

Best Film Editing  

Winner – Oppenheimer

Alternate – The Holdovers

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling  

Winner – Maestro

Alternate – Poor Things

Best Original Score  

Winner – Oppenheimer

Alternate – Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Original Song  

Winner – “What Was I Made For?” – Barbie

Alternate – “I’m Just Ken” – Barbie

Best Sound  

Winner – Oppenheimer

Alternate – The Zone of Interest

Best Visual Effects  

Winner – Godzilla Minus One

Alternate – The Creator

Final Oscar Nomination Predictions

Most Nominations – Oppenheimer – 13

Best Picture 

  • Oppenheimer 
  • The Holdovers 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Barbie 
  • Poor Things 
  • Past Lives 
  • Anatomy of a Fall 
  • Maestro
  • The Zone of Interest  
  • American Fiction 

Alt – All of Us Strangers 

Best Director  

  • Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer 
  • Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things 
  • Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest  
  • Alexander Payne – The Holdovers 

Alt – Greta Gerwig – Barbie  

Best Actor  

  • Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers 
  • Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer 
  • Bradley Cooper – Maestro  
  • Colman Domingo – Rustin 
  • Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction 

Alt – Andrew Scott – All of Us Strangers 

Best Actress 

  • Emma Stone – Poor Things 
  • Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Sandra Huller – Anatomy of a Fall 
  • Carey Mulligan – Maestro  
  • Margot Robbie – Barbie  

Alt – Greta Lee – Past Lives  

Best Supporting Actor 

  • Robert Downey Jr – Oppenheimer 
  • Ryan Gosling – Barbie 
  • Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things 
  • Dominic Sessa – The Holdovers

Alt – Willem Dafoe – Poor Things 

Best Supporting Actress 

  • Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers  
  • Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer 
  • Jodie Foster – Nyad 
  • Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple 
  • Sandra Huller – The Zone of Interest 

Alt – Penelope Cruz – Ferrari  

Best Original Screenplay 

  • The Holdovers 
  • Past Lives 
  • Anatomy of a Fall 
  • May December  
  • Saltburn 

Alt – Maestro 

Best Adapted Screenplay 

  • Oppenheimer 
  • Barbie 
  • American Fiction 
  • Poor Things 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 

Alt – All of Us Strangers 

Best Animated  

  • Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 
  • The Boy and the Heron 
  • Elemental 
  • Nimona  
  • Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 

Alt – Suzume 

Best Documentary 

  • 20 Days in Mariupol 
  • Beyond Utopia  
  • Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie 
  • American Symphony  
  • Four Daughters  

Alt – Bobi Wine: The People’s President

Best International  

  • The Zone of Interest  
  • Society of the Snow 
  • The Taste of Things 
  • 20 Days in Mariupol
  • Fallen Leaves 

Alt – Perfect Days

Best Cinematography  

  • Oppenheimer 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Poor Things 
  • Maestro  
  • The Zone of Interest  

Alt – El Conde 

Best Costume Design  

  • Barbie  
  • Poor Things 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Wonka  
  • Oppenheimer

Alt – Maestro 

Best Production Design  

  • Barbie  
  • Poor Things 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Oppenheimer 
  • The Zone of Interest

Alt – Napoleon  

Best Film Editing  

  • Oppenheimer 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • The Holdovers 
  • Poor Things 
  • Anatomy of a Fall  

Alt – Barbie 

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling  

  • Maestro  
  • Poor Things 
  • Oppenheimer 
  • Society of the Snow 
  • Golda 

Alt – Killers of the Flower Moon 

Best Original Score  

  • Oppenheimer 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Poor Things 
  • Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 
  • The Boy and the Heron 

Alt – Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 

Best Original Song  

  • Barbie – “What was I made for?” 
  • Barbie – “I’m Just Ken”  
  • Rustin – “Road to Freedom” 
  • Flamin’ Hot – “The Fire Inside” 
  • American Symphony – “It Never Went Away” 

Alt – Barbie – “Dance the Night” 

Best Sound  

  • Oppenheimer  
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Maestro  
  • The Zone of Interest  
  • Ferrari  

Alt – Napoleon 

Best Visual Effects  

  • Poor Things 
  • The Creator  
  • Society of the Snow  
  • Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 
  • Godzilla Minus One 

Alt – Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 

Oscar Nominations Predictions

Most Nominations – Oppenheimer/Poor Things – 12 

Best Picture 

  • Oppenheimer 
  • Barbie 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Poor Things 
  • The Holdovers 
  • Past Lives 
  • American Fiction 
  • Maestro  
  • Anatomy of a Fall 
  • The Zone of Interest  

Alt – The Color Purple 

Best Director  

  • Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer 
  • Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things 
  • Greta Gerwig – Barbie  
  • Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest  

Alt – Bradley Cooper – Maestro 

Best Actor  

  • Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer 
  • Bradley Cooper – Maestro  
  • Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers 
  • Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction 
  • Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon 

Alt – Zac Efron – The Iron Claw 

Best Actress 

  • Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Emma Stone – Poor Things 
  • Carey Mulligan – Maestro  
  • Sandra Huller – Anatomy of a Fall 
  • Margot Robbie – Barbie  

Alt – Greta Lee – Past Lives  

Best Supporting Actor 

  • Robert Downey Jr – Oppenheimer 
  • Ryan Gosling – Barbie 
  • Charles Melton – May December 
  • Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things 
  • Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon 

Alt – Dominic Sessa – The Holdovers 

Best Supporting Actress 

  • Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers  
  • Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple 
  • Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer 
  • Julianne Moore – May December  
  • Rachel McAdams – Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret  

Alt – Jodie Foster – Nyad  

Best Original Screenplay 

  • The Holdovers 
  • Past Lives 
  • Anatomy of a Fall 
  • May December  
  • Maestro 

Alt – Saltburn 

Best Adapted Screenplay 

  • Barbie 
  • Oppenheimer 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Poor Things 
  • American Fiction 

Alt – All of Us Strangers 

Best Animated  

  • Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 
  • The Boy and the Heron 
  • Elemental 
  • Nimona  
  • The Peasants  

Alt – The Super Mario Bros. Movie  

Best Documentary 

  • Beyond Utopia  
  • Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie 
  • 20 Days in Mariupol 
  • The Eternal Memory  
  • American Synphony  

Alt – Four Daughters 

Best International  

  • The Zone of Interest  
  • The Taste of Things 
  • Fallen Leaves 
  • Society of the Snow 
  • The Promised Land 

Alt – Perfect Days 

Best Cinematography  

  • Oppenheimer 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Poor Things 
  • Maestro  
  • The Zone of Interest  

Alt – Saltburn 

Best Costume Design  

  • Barbie  
  • Poor Things 
  • The Color Purple  
  • Wonka  
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 

Alt – Wonka 

Best Production Design  

  • Barbie  
  • Poor Things 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Asteroid City  
  • Oppenheimer 

Alt – The Color Purple  

Best Film Editing  

  • Oppenheimer 
  • Poor Things 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Maestro 
  • Barbie 

Alt – The Holdovers  

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling  

  • Maestro  
  • Poor Things 
  • Oppenheimer 
  • Society of the Snow 
  • Golda 

Alt – Killers of the Flower Moon 

Best Original Score  

  • Oppenheimer 
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Poor Things 
  • The Boy and the Heron 
  • Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 

Alt – Barbie 

Best Original Song  

  • Barbie – “What was I made for?” 
  • Barbie – “I’m Just Ken”  
  • Rustin – “Road to Freedom” 
  • The Color Purple – “Keep it Movin”  
  • Flamin’ Hot – “The Fire Inside” 

Alt – Barbie – “Dance the Night” 

Best Sound  

  • Oppenheimer  
  • Killers of the Flower Moon 
  • Maestro  
  • Ferrari  
  • The Zone of Interest  

Alt – The Killer 

Best Visual Effects  

  • Poor Things 
  • Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 
  • The Creator  
  • Godzilla Minus One 
  • Society of the Snow  

Alt – Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 

The Zone of Interest – London Film Festival 2023 Review

Directed Jonathan Glazer. Starring Christian Friedel and Sandra Hüller. 2023.

In 1943, the commandant of Auschwitz, Rudolf Höss, and his wife, Hedwig, strive to build a dream life for their family in a house right next to the concentration and extermination camp he helped create.

The walls of the garden to the Höss house, where children play and adults garden so pleasantly, immediately backs on to Auschwitz and the horrors it holds. Throughout the film we are shown very little of the actual camp, but within the paradise the family has built in this house, we hear horrors from afar. The screams of the dying, the smell of the smoke, the glow of the flames, all lingering over everything we see.

In the lead role, Friedel plays the infamous commandant of Auschwitz, Höss, as a efficient middle-manager, with a thin, needling voice, who has had a rapid rise up the Nazi party and is trying to maintain his position. Every room he enters, he fantasises about the most cost and speed effective way he could slaughter them all. He is a caring parent but has no comprehension of the worth of life. A monster wrapped up in a tiny man, filing papers.

Sandra Hüller, who also stars this year in Anatomy of a Fall, gives a radically different performance in this film. Hedwig is a woman who cares greatly for her garden and the home she builds for her family, but has truly no care for human life outside of this. The horrors of the holocaust don’t concern her in the slightest, and her outbursts of panic and violence only come when she is inconvenienced personally. Hüller manages to make her both a true personification of evil, and also a complex central character.

Sound mixing and editing is often the most underappreciated and little understood parts of every film, but in The Zone of Interest, it is the heart of everything. The deafening, soul shaking noises that reverberate through the film, showing us the horror happening just off screen while the camera hangs on the paradise garden the family inhabit. It deserves awards.

Jonathan Glazer makes very few films, but when he does make one, it is truly the most unique and thought provoking of any given year. There is not a commercial bone in his body, he is purely focused on the story he wants to tell and the emotion he wants to leave the audience feeling,

Staring down into the darkness, the very depths of hell represented in the mundanity of a building staircase, Höss seems to almost see the horror his life has brought, and then slowly continue his descent all the same. The most bone-chilling evil resonates through every shot here, and Glazer has produced not just a reflection of the past, but a warning for the future.

All Of Us Strangers – London Film Festival 2023 Review

Directed by Andrew Haigh. Starring Andrew Scott, Paul Mescal and Claire Foy. 2023

In Andrew Haigh’s All of us Strangers, one night in his near-empty London tower block, screenwriter Adam has a chance encounter with mysterious neighbour Harry, puncturing the rhythm of his everyday life. As a relationship develops between them, Adam finds himself drawn back to his childhood home, where his parents appear to be living just as they were on the day they died 30 years ago.

In this ghostly tale of rediscovery and connection, Haigh beautifully merges an exploration of grief with a complex and effective look at the queer experience in its many intricacies. With striking imagery of the empty flat block, immediately evoking classic ghost stories, we place Scott’s Adam at the heart of it. The screenplay does have a few twists and big character shifts, but the heart of this film is the tender and realistic dialogue. Characters feel like real people, talking about things we can all relate to and therefore pulling us right in to the heart of the story.

As much as all the other crafts and actors are key to this film working so well, there is no film without the layered performance Andrew Scott gives. At once a bored and lonely man, in the middle of his life and unfamiliar with romantic relationships, and then immediately transformed as a 12 year old again in a man’s body. His interaction with his parents is breathtaking in its normlacy, at once his age peers and also a clear dynamic of parent and child. It would have been so easy to get this performance wrong, but Scott strikes the correct note at every turn and gives the performance of his lifetime.

Paul Mescal, who has made a niche for himself in soulful and introspective dramas like Normal People and Aftersun, again delivers a stunning performance. This time however, it is a supporting role and much more of a broken and troubled man, but equally kind and caring. He immediately makes you root for him and Adam’s relationship, while never losing the pain that is always on the surface.

In the role of the parents, confronted with the adult son they never got to see grow, and the mistakes they made during their lives, both Foy and Bell shine. These are complex roles, and demand a lot from their actors. Foy is the perfectly portrayed 1980s mother, deeply caring and proud of her son, but also with ingrained homophobia and fear at the thought of her son being gay, which was a common part of the culture of the time, and this is portrayed so delicately. Bell on the other hand keeps his emotions surprisingly right at the surface, with a scene featuring him and Scott reminiscing on why he “never came into your room when you were crying” being a devastating emotional centrepiece.

As a critic it is often important to keep an objective view, whilst also feeding in your own experiences and influences into your thoughts. For me, as someone who lost a parent at a young age, I feel a deeply personal connection to this film and the presentation of grief and desire for more time with loved ones. The ache hiding silently behind all you other emotions, always waiting to come out when you least expect it. Sometimes grief is much less about the pain of losing a loved one, and much more the pain of wondering what life would have been like if you had more time with them.

Haigh and Scott have created a ghostly reflection on love, grief and the void in-between. This is the film of the festival and likely of the year.

Oscars – Final Winner Predictions – 09/03/23

Most Predicted Wins

Everything Everywhere all at Once – 6

Best Picture

Winner = Everything Everywhere all at Once

Runner Up = All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Director

Winner = Daniels – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Runner Up = Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans

Best Actor

Winner = Austin Butler – Elvis

Runner Up = Brendan Fraser – The Whale

Best Actress

Winner = Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Runner Up = Cate Blanchett – TAR

Best Supporting Actor

Winner = Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Runner Up = Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Supporting Actress

Winner = Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin

Runner Up = Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Best Original Screenplay

Winner = Everything Everywhere all at Once

Runner Up = The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Adapted Screenplay

Winner = Women Talking

Runner Up = All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Animated Feature

Winner = Pinocchio

Runner Up = Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Best Documentary Feature

Winner = Navalny

Runner Up = All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

Best International Feature

Winner = All Quiet on the Western Front

Runner Up = Argentina, 1985

Best Cinematography

Winner = All Quiet on the Western Front

Runner Up = Bardo

Best Film Editing

Winner = Everything Everywhere all at Once

Runner Up = Top Gun: Maverick

Best Production Design

Winner = Babylon

Runner Up = All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Costume Design

Winner = Elvis

Runner Up = Babylon

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling

Winner = Elvis

Runner Up = The Whale

Best Sound

Winner = Top Gun: Maverick

Runner Up = All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Visual Effects

Winner = Avatar: The Way of Water

Runner Up = N/A (or All Quiet on the Western Front)

Best Original Score

Winner = Babylon

Runner Up = All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Original Song

Winner = “Naatu Naatu” – RRR

Runner Up = “Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick

Final Oscar Nomination Predictions

My predictions in each category ranked from most likely at the top.

Most Predicted Nominations

The Banshees of Inisherin – 9

Best Picture

Everything Everywhere all at Once

The Fabelmans

The Banshees of Inisherin

Top Gun: Maverick

Elvis

TAR

Avatar: The Way of Water

All Quiet on the Western Front

The Whale

RRR

Major Surprise – Women Talking/The Woman King

Best Director

Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans

Daniels – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Todd Field – TAR

Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin

Edward Berger – All Quiet on the Western Front

Major Surprise – James Cameron/Baz Luhrmann

Best Actor

Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin

Austin Butler – Elvis

Brendan Fraser – The Whale

Bill Nighy – Living

Paul Mescal – Aftersun

Major Surprise – Tom Cruise/Adam Sandler

Best Actress

Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Cate Blanchett – TAR

Ana de Armas – Blonde

Viola Davis – The Woman King

Danielle Deadwyler – Till

Major Surprise – Michelle Williams/Margot Robbie

Best Supporting Actor

Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin

Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin

Paul Dano – The Fabelmans

Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse

Major Surprise – Brad Pitt/Judd Hirsch

Best Supporting Actress

Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin

Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Hong Chau – The Whale

Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness

Major Surprise – Stephanie Hsu/Jessie Buckley

Best Original Screenplay

The Banshees of Inisherin

Everything Everywhere all at Once

TAR

The Fabelmans

Triangle of Sadness

Major Surprise – Aftersun/The Menu

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Whale

Women Talking

All Quiet on the Western Front

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story

Living

Major Surprise – She Said/White Noise

Best Animated Feature

Pinocchio

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Turning Red

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On

My Father’s Dragon

Major Surprise – Wendell and Wild/The Bad Guys

Best Documentary Feature

Navalny

All That Breathes

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

Descendant

Fire of Love

Major Surprise – The Territory/Bad Axe

Best International Feature

All Quiet on the Western Front

Decision to Leave

Argentina, 1985

Close

Bardo

Major Surprise – EO/The Quiet Girl

Best Cinematography

Top Gun: Maverick

Avatar: The Way of Water

Empire of Light

All Quiet on the Western Front

Bardo

Major Surprise – The Batman/Elvis

Best Film Editing

Everything Everywhere all at Once

Top Gun: Maverick

Elvis

The Fabelmans

The Banshees of Inisherin

Major Surprise – Avatar: The Way of Water/All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Production Design

Elvis

Babylon

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Fabelmans

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Major Surprise – All Quiet on the Western Front/The Batman

Best Costume Design

Elvis

Babylon

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

The Woman King

Mrs Harris Goes to Paris

Major Surprise – The Fabelmans/Corsage

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling

Elvis

The Whale

All Quiet on the Western Front

The Batman

Blonde

Major Surprise – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever/Babylon

Best Sound

Top Gun: Maverick

Avatar: The Way of Water

Elvis

All Quiet on the Western Front

The Batman

Major Surprise – Babylon/Everything Everywhere all at Once

Best Visual Effects

Avatar: The Way of Water

Top Gun: Maverick

The Batman

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

All Quiet on the Western Front

Major Surprise – Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness/Thirteen Lives

Best Original Score

Babylon

The Fabelmans

The Banshees of Inisherin

Women Talking

Pinocchio

Major Surprise – The Woman King/Everything Everywhere all at Once

Best Original Song

“Naatu Naatu” – RRR

“Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick

“Lift Me Up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

“Ciao Papa” – Pinocchio

“Carolina” – Where the Crawdads Sing

Major Surprise – “New Body Rhumba” – White Noise/ “Applause” – Tell It Like a Woman

Oscar Predictions – 11/01/23

My current Oscar nomination predictions, listed in order of most likely downwards in each category.

Most Predicted Nominations

The Fablemans – 10

Best Picture

The Fablemans

Everything Everywhere all at Once

The Banshees of Inisherin

Top Gun: Maverick

Elvis

TAR

Avatar: The Way of Water

Women Talking

Babylon

All Quiet on the Western Front

Major Surprise – Aftersun/The Woman King

Best Director

Steven Spielberg – The Fablemans

Daniels – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin

James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water

Todd Field – TAR

Major Surprise – Charlotte Wells/Edward Berger

Best Actor

Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin

Austin Butler – Elvis

Brendan Fraser – The Whale

Bill Nighy – Living

Paul Mescal – Aftersun

Major Surprise – Tom Cruise/Adam Sandler

Best Actress

Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Cate Blanchett – TAR

Danielle Deadwyler – Till

Michelle Williams – The Fablemans

Ana de Armas – Blonde

Major Surprise – Viola Davis/Margot Robbie

Best Supporting Actor

Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin

Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin

Paul Dano – The Fablemans

Ben Whishaw – Women Talking

Major Surprise – Brad Pitt/Eddie Redmayne

Best Supporting Actress

Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin

Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere all at Once

Jessie Buckley – Women Talking

Major Surprise – Hong Chau/Dolly de Leon

Best Original Screenplay

The Banshees of Inisherin

Everything Everywhere all at Once

The Fablemans

TAR

Triangle of Sadness

Major Surprise – Aftersun/Babylon

Best Adapted Screenplay

Women Talking

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story

All Quiet on the Western Front

Living

The Whale

Major Surprise – She Said/White Noise

Best Animated Feature

Pinocchio

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Turning Red

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On

My Father’s Dragon

Major Surprise – Wendell and Wild/The Bad Guys

Best Documentary Feature

Navalny

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

Fire of Love

Descendant

All That Breathes

Major Surprise – Moonage Daydream/ The Territory

Best International Feature

All Quiet on the Western Front

Decision to Leave

Bardo

Close

Argentina, 1985

Major Surprise – EO/Saint Omer

Best Cinematography

Top Gun: Maverick

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Fablemans

Bardo

Empire of Light

Major Surprise – All Quiet on the Western Front/Babylon

Best Film Editing

Everything Everywhere all at Once

Top Gun: Maverick

Elvis

The Fablemans

The Banshees of Inisherin

Major Surprise – Avatar: The Way of Water/Babylon

Best Production Design

Babylon

Elvis

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Fablemans

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Major Surprise – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery/Pinocchio

Best Costume Design

Elvis

Babylon

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

The Woman King

The Fablemans

Major Surprise – Mrs Harris Goes to Paris/Corsage

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling

Elvis

The Whale

The Batman

Babylon

All Quiet on the Western Front

Major Surprise – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever/Blonde

Best Sound

Top Gun: Maverick

Avatar: The Way of Water

Elvis

All Quiet on the Western Front

The Batman

Major Surprise – Babylon/Everything Everywhere all at Once

Best Visual Effects

Avatar: The Way of Water

Top Gun: Maverick

The Batman

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

All Quiet on the Western Front

Major Surprise – Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness/Nope

Best Original Score

Babylon

The Fablemans

The Banshees of Inisherin

Women Talking

Pinocchio

Major Surprise – The Woman King/Everything Everywhere all at Once

Best Original Song

“Naatu Naatu” – RRR

“Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick

“Lift Me Up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

“Ciao Papa” – Pinocchio

“Carolina” – Where the Crawdads Sing

Major Surprise – “New Body Rhumba” – White Noise/ “Applause” – Tell It Like a Woman

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