My current Oscar nomination predictions, listed in order of most likely downwards in each category.
Most Predicted Nominations
The Fablemans – 10
Best Picture
The Fablemans
Everything Everywhere all at Once
The Banshees of Inisherin
Top Gun: Maverick
Elvis
TAR
Avatar: The Way of Water
Women Talking
Babylon
All Quiet on the Western Front
Major Surprise – Aftersun/The Woman King
Best Director
Steven Spielberg – The Fablemans
Daniels – Everything Everywhere all at Once
Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin
James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water
Todd Field – TAR
Major Surprise – Charlotte Wells/Edward Berger
Best Actor
Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
Austin Butler – Elvis
Brendan Fraser – The Whale
Bill Nighy – Living
Paul Mescal – Aftersun
Major Surprise – Tom Cruise/Adam Sandler
Best Actress
Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere all at Once
Cate Blanchett – TAR
Danielle Deadwyler – Till
Michelle Williams – The Fablemans
Ana de Armas – Blonde
Major Surprise – Viola Davis/Margot Robbie
Best Supporting Actor
Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere all at Once
Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin
Paul Dano – The Fablemans
Ben Whishaw – Women Talking
Major Surprise – Brad Pitt/Eddie Redmayne
Best Supporting Actress
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere all at Once
Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere all at Once
Jessie Buckley – Women Talking
Major Surprise – Hong Chau/Dolly de Leon
Best Original Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere all at Once
The Fablemans
TAR
Triangle of Sadness
Major Surprise – Aftersun/Babylon
Best Adapted Screenplay
Women Talking
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story
All Quiet on the Western Front
Living
The Whale
Major Surprise – She Said/White Noise
Best Animated Feature
Pinocchio
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
My Father’s Dragon
Major Surprise – Wendell and Wild/The Bad Guys
Best Documentary Feature
Navalny
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
Descendant
All That Breathes
Major Surprise – Moonage Daydream/ The Territory
Best International Feature
All Quiet on the Western Front
Decision to Leave
Bardo
Close
Argentina, 1985
Major Surprise – EO/Saint Omer
Best Cinematography
Top Gun: Maverick
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Fablemans
Bardo
Empire of Light
Major Surprise – All Quiet on the Western Front/Babylon
Best Film Editing
Everything Everywhere all at Once
Top Gun: Maverick
Elvis
The Fablemans
The Banshees of Inisherin
Major Surprise – Avatar: The Way of Water/Babylon
Best Production Design
Babylon
Elvis
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Fablemans
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Major Surprise – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery/Pinocchio
Best Costume Design
Elvis
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
The Woman King
The Fablemans
Major Surprise – Mrs Harris Goes to Paris/Corsage
Best Make-Up and Hairstyling
Elvis
The Whale
The Batman
Babylon
All Quiet on the Western Front
Major Surprise – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever/Blonde
Best Sound
Top Gun: Maverick
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Major Surprise – Babylon/Everything Everywhere all at Once
Best Visual Effects
Avatar: The Way of Water
Top Gun: Maverick
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
All Quiet on the Western Front
Major Surprise – Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness/Nope
Best Original Score
Babylon
The Fablemans
The Banshees of Inisherin
Women Talking
Pinocchio
Major Surprise – The Woman King/Everything Everywhere all at Once
Best Original Song
“Naatu Naatu” – RRR
“Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick
“Lift Me Up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
“Ciao Papa” – Pinocchio
“Carolina” – Where the Crawdads Sing
Major Surprise – “New Body Rhumba” – White Noise/ “Applause” – Tell It Like a Woman
Howe's World of Film and TV 